Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: David Fix vs Daniel Masur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91631328cad9e165c16c30ce9a050a3f9258e833d9d3dca8ad564187d1b006b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Masurof David Fix, Daniel Masur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed David Fix | 8c | 3,098$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Daniel Masur | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked David Fix | 26c | 1,981$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed David Fix | 16c | 1,549$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed David Fix | 16c | 1,481$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Daniel Masur | 64c | 1,200$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Daniel Masur | 77c | 910.75$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed David Fix | 16c | 653.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Daniel Masur | 63c | 479.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Fix | 33c | 432.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked David Fix | 34c | 376.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked David Fix | 34c | 335$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed David Fix | 14c | 288.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Daniel Masur | 78c | 194.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked David Fix | 15c | 146.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Masur | 68c | 89.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Daniel Masur | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 223 | 61.4%137 W · 86 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Masur | 72c | 61.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked David Fix | 30c | 42.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed David Fix | 37c | 31.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Daniel Masur | 78c | 29.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.