Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91639867dbc0335b15fd55735723a2d96d9654d0833eedcc919f82381c2e5b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 65c | 997.43$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 555.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 29c | 476.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 33c | 347.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 329.54$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 19c | 307$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 229.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 218.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 203.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 2,366 | 46.8%1,108 W · 1,258 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 30.3%73 W · 168 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 197$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 67c | 194$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 585 | 29.1%170 W · 415 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 221 | 74.2%164 W · 57 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 99.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 36c | 56.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 55.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 38.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 32c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…8648backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Yes | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.