Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7745f792f9104b8f260ba61385554eac3e0360ef637582cea22961394367e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,103$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.84 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 647.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 527.4$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 506.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 492$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 434.82$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 318.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 245.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…de2bbacked No | 73c | 238.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 17c | 237.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 73c | 206.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…2c56backed Yes | 29c | 193.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…858fbacked No | 73c | 187.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…d57dbacked No | 73c | 145.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…a3b7backed No | 73c | 143.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 28c | 96.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 72c | 65.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 60.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 41.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.