Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Brown Bears vs. Cornell Big Red
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c35c395708542c9e3f4d9e115e6130aaefac09783d42ab6a58378495bbe87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Brown Bears, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cornell Big Red | 76c | 2,868$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears | 28c | 1,887$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.46 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cornell Big Red | 73c | 1,046$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Brown Bears | 26c | 679.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed Brown Bears | 28c | 590.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cornell Big Red | 75c | 496.84$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brown Bears | 18c | 464.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brown Bears | 28c | 452.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…4ba6backed Brown Bears | 27c | 367.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brown Bears | 21c | 340.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears | 21c | 298.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Brown Bears | 33c | 150.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brown Bears | 23c | 147.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Cornell Big Red | 76c | 141.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cornell Big Red | 80c | 121.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Brown Bears | 33c | 120.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brown Bears | 25c | 113.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brown Bears | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Brown Bears | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Cornell Big Red | 80c | 99.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Cornell Big Red | 75c | 99.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears | 35c | 79.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Cornell Big Red | 69c | 79.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Brown Bears | 34c | 71.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears | 18c | 65.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Cornell Big Red | 74c | 61.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Brown Bears | 20c | 60.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Brown Bears | 20c | 60.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brown Bears | 31c | 57.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cornell Big Red | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Cornell Big Red | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.