Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Kylie Collins vs Rebecca Marino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920729b435a760bcc7b43e0448ce89d05f1f3c59cd1b3e4ae0c799b9369c626a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Marinoof Kylie Collins, Rebecca Marino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kylie Collins | 31c | 745.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kylie Collins | 8c | 594.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kylie Collins | 21c | 533.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Kylie Collins | 26c | 285.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rebecca Marino | 70c | 173.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Rebecca Marino | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Rebecca Marino | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rebecca Marino | 69c | 137.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kylie Collins | 20c | 103.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Kylie Collins | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kylie Collins | 33c | 83.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kylie Collins | 28c | 74.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…bdaabacked Kylie Collins | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Rebecca Marino | 67c | 65.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Kylie Collins | 25c | 51.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Rebecca Marino | 71c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…5336backed Rebecca Marino | 68c | 47.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Kylie Collins | 31c | 45.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rebecca Marino | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Rebecca Marino | 70c | 31.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Rebecca Marino | 70c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Rebecca Marino | 72c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Rebecca Marino | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Rebecca Marino | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Rebecca Marino | 66c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Rebecca Marino | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.