Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Wawrinka (-1.5) vs Hassan (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9240df9529793a1bcefa472d9aadcd93ac4b98ef8e101bfc1b2ab69658e14f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wawrinkaof Wawrinka, Hassan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Wawrinka | 66c | 1,993$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.76 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hassan | 34c | 1,670$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.19 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Wawrinka | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.15 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Hassan | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hassan | 35c | 1,271$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Wawrinka | 72c | 797.11$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Wawrinka | 66c | 707.14$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Hassan | 33c | 336.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…6eb8backed Wawrinka | 66c | 322.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hassan | 34c | 262.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hassan | 35c | 208$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Wawrinka | 66c | 190.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hassan | 33c | 189.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Wawrinka | 64c | 145.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Wawrinka | 70c | 142.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Hassan | 32c | 75.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Hassan | 39c | 71.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…fb0cbacked Hassan | 41c | 71.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Wawrinka | 70c | 68.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hassan | 51c | 68.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…7686backed Wawrinka | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Wawrinka | 64c | 51.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Hassan | 35c | 51.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Hassan | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Wawrinka | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5563…1303backed Hassan | 39c | 43.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Hassan | 37c | 43.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Wawrinka | 66c | 42.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Hassan | 35c | 30.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Wawrinka | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hassan | 36c | 28.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Wawrinka | 69c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed Wawrinka | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Wawrinka (-1.5) vs Hassan (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin HassanWawrinka won
- Wawrinka vs. Hassan: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.