CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92cf66e4d2ea26d4cece55e539d70fb5a8daa1451b3736bd9351fe6277171f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof AaB esport, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,531 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f43…3c28backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 2,586$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…c0f6backed AaB esport | 46c | 2,586$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ca…1110backed Sashi Esport | 57c | 2,550$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…9447backed AaB esport | 43c | 2,550$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…c7d9backed AaB esport | 8c | 750$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AaB esport | 46c | 472.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sashi Esport | 54c | 368.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked AaB esport | 28c | 364.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 176.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB esport | 45c | 162.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…9717backed AaB esport | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport | 73c | 118.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 116.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sashi Esport | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AaB esport | 43c | 91.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed AaB esport | 45c | 79.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB esport | 32c | 67.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…fecbbacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked AaB esport | 45c | 50.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sashi Esport | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785e…5542backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 32.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…3072backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.