Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f01431afea8314413adcd141e8324d83e057821075895734cce42e86a84a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,436$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 979.66$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 348.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 255.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 48c | 209.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 193.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 191$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 173.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 61c | 165.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 154.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 46c | 58.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 44.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…ab3bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 42c | 26.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 61c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.