Cricket · resolved market
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f29e12739c18c158391a9286f61860d4b5c24f5357236642abfed7e6e43b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Australian Scorpionsof South Australian Scorpions, New South Wales Breakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,084 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed New South Wales Breakers | 1c | 1,355$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New South Wales Breakers | 7c | 909.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed New South Wales Breakers | 64c | 783.02$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New South Wales Breakers | 7c | 584.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 438 | 44.5%195 W · 243 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked South Australian Scorpions | 53c | 133.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed New South Wales Breakers | 33c | 129.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed South Australian Scorpions | 43c | 115.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed South Australian Scorpions | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Australian Scorpions | 34c | 64.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New South Wales Breakers | 57c | 64.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…bce8backed South Australian Scorpions | 67c | 52.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed New South Wales Breakers | 52c | 50.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…2c39backed South Australian Scorpions | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…1704backed New South Wales Breakers | 41c | 31.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…a5b1backed South Australian Scorpions | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked New South Wales Breakers | 50c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked South Australian Scorpions | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.