TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x934e…a5b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$49.98
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.66
National T20 Cup: Bahawalpur Region vs Lahore Region Whitesbacked Lahore Region Whites · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National T20 Cup: Faisalabad Region vs Peshawar Regionbacked Peshawar Region · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.78
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
National T20 Cup: Sialkot Region vs Lahore Region Bluesbacked Sialkot Region · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$66.78
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakersbacked South Australian Scorpions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.88
National T20 Cup: Multan Region vs Lahore Region Bluesbacked Lahore Region Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
T20 Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrainbacked Bahrain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53.19
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.09
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.75
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$44.96
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52%+$43.73
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$274
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94.56
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.81
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.8%+$74.32
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+339.7%+$163.95
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$246.43
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$9.45
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.2%+$28.33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.1%+$5.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$27.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$454.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.