Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd878c1793a12bc307a6ba6a016c3153701f368f46abf3c7d23f77a3428bad6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 16c | 1,469$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…0c01backed Yes | 30c | 1,194$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed Yes | 2c | 998.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 43c | 670$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 27c | 561.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 22c | 458.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…10e6backed No | 73c | 451.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed No | 79c | 381.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…7a6cbacked Yes | 3c | 374.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 366$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 25c | 360.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…2be2backed Yes | 7c | 340.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 10c | 326.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 30c | 299.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 23c | 291.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 62c | 253.87$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 59c | 238.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…4cc0backed Yes | 9c | 229.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 15c | 222.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…dd57backed Yes | 43c | 220.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…e1ddbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 199.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 176.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…dd10backed Yes | 31c | 159.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 34c | 155.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 7c | 143.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 130.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 126.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 122.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 27c | 120.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…609fbacked Yes | 19c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 17c | 110.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 71c | 105.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…c717backed Yes | 23c | 101.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…facdbacked Yes | 19c | 101.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…a29bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…0f82backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…e411backed Yes | 16c | 99.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…a381backed Yes | 24c | 97.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 18c | 96.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 29c | 91.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cd…0b02backed Yes | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 64c | 79.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed No | 51c | 78.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 28c | 73.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…6387backed Yes | 28c | 68.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 66c | 67.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 30c | 65.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…7e6ebacked Yes | 27c | 65.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 72c | 65.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 65c | 63.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 58.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 47c | 53.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 73c | 52.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…1e1abacked No | 77c | 52.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…8bf0backed Yes | 60c | 50.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…bb3abacked Yes | 28c | 49.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 68c | 48.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 23c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 29c | 44.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 165 | 20.6%34 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 47c | 42.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…d632backed Yes | 48c | 41.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d8d3backed No | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…95eebacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 39.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…97efbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…b696backed Yes | 30c | 36.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…55eebacked Yes | 46c | 34.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 74c | 32.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed No | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 46c | 29.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…8094backed Yes | 34c | 29.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…7881backed No | 55c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7660…c588backed No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…2217backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…a5b1backed No | 74c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…3482backed No | 57c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…a48ebacked No | 53c | 18.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…ebb5backed No | 58c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 73c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.