Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f29fcc6feceace282e8bae6f0735a266976770529de2886fcb329c5aef07a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 15c | 5,527$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 3,688$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 11c | 3,415$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 2,965$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 13c | 955.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 833.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 8c | 625.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 368.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 14c | 315$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 262.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Yes | 15c | 210.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Yes | 16c | 175$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 145.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 127.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 14c | 113.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 73c | 105.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 14c | 95.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 14c | 86.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…714fbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 43.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.