CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9300fd44af77d1a487dd7e281dc2f14e4622f32ab11f9a82cafd012d0362d2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof AaB Esport, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e35…2614backed GenOne | 16c | 785.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.97 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed AaB Esport | 40c | 749.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed GenOne | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne | 59c | 539$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked GenOne | 23c | 519.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.49 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked AaB Esport | 53c | 405.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed GenOne | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed AaB Esport | 48c | 255.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne | 39c | 229$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GenOne | 59c | 202.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GenOne | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked AaB Esport | 76c | 131.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked GenOne | 67c | 125.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed GenOne | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GenOne | 56c | 86.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed AaB Esport | 32c | 69.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne | 41c | 63.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Esport | 59c | 49.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked GenOne | 71c | 45.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…0a68backed GenOne | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked GenOne | 51c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed GenOne | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked AaB Esport | 39c | 29.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerAaB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.