Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dplus vs FearX (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9317a8255b0eb5c5583d456441ea8e6ad0e51e27010d5bd03859faf472af919b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplusof Dplus, FearX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FearX | 13c | 3,500$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked FearX | 17c | 1,033$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FearX | 14c | 899.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed FearX | 17c | 681.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…99fabacked FearX | 20c | 621$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…7e4abacked Dplus | 80c | 621$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…36e5backed FearX | 20c | 600.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7c…3db5backed Dplus | 80c | 600.16$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…021ebacked Dplus | 80c | 575.48$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccd…8cf0backed FearX | 20c | 575.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed FearX | 13c | 503.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…4943backed FearX | 17c | 485.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FearX | 12c | 479.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dplus | 76c | 458.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FearX | 13c | 368.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed FearX | 11c | 330.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FearX | 16c | 319.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FearX | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FearX | 11c | 250.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed FearX | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed FearX | 43c | 235.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed FearX | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…0345backed FearX | 17c | 194.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed FearX | 11c | 187.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked Dplus | 70c | 142.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed FearX | 13c | 142.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked FearX | 16c | 135.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FearX | 14c | 127.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…f742backed FearX | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9203…8c7ebacked FearX | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…ca1cbacked FearX | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…4213backed FearX | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…c770backed FearX | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…3862backed FearX | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed FearX | 25c | 105.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…ef2fbacked FearX | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed FearX | 30c | 104.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Dplus | 57c | 101.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…1321backed FearX | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FearX | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FearX | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked FearX | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FearX | 14c | 93.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…9db5backed FearX | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…6571backed FearX | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked FearX | 35c | 85.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…323ebacked FearX | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…7e89backed FearX | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FearX | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f57…3a4dbacked FearX | 21c | 79.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FearX | 15c | 79.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a3fbacked FearX | 13c | 77.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked FearX | 26c | 77.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed FearX | 70c | 71.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Dplus | 63c | 68.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Dplus | 45c | 66.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Dplus | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed FearX | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…294cbacked FearX | 25c | 40.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Dplus | 75c | 34.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Dplus | 53c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dplus vs FearX (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Dplus vs FearX - Map 1 WinnerDplus won
- Valorant: Dplus vs FearX - Map 2 WinnerDplus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.