Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Colorado Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932d4f0a5bfde54c5f00d25dcfbf165a22d54865772f0c955938ea0221dd9e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Sacramento State Hornets, Northern Colorado Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 16c | 17,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 15c | 2,800$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 3c | 876$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sacramento State Hornets | 10c | 413$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 79c | 411.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacramento State Hornets | 7c | 274.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Sacramento State Hornets | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 23c | 199.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Sacramento State Hornets | 20c | 164.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 13c | 156.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Sacramento State Hornets | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 75.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Sacramento State Hornets | 41c | 39.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Colorado Bears | 79c | 31.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northern Colorado Bears | 78c | 31.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Northern Colorado Bears | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Northern Colorado Bears | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Northern Colorado Bears | 55c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
- Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-7.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-8.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-9.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.