TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,829 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sheffield Wednesday FC57c940.44$538 inLost-$538.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC41c653.89$265 inWon+$388.5591435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC49c299.51$147 inWon+$152.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC40c99.98$39 inWon+$60.4912147.1%57 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC45c92$41 inLost-$41.41,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Sheffield Wednesday FC60c50$30 inLost-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC41c44.33$18 inWon+$26.2424544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC39c39.59$15 inWon+$24.1511349.6%56 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sheffield Wednesday FC59c36$21 inLost-$21.241,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC46c32.61$15 inLost-$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC62c30.6$19 inLost-$18.972,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.