Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e1a53559ce3a4245914112212cacac4309771ce5d60e8033d2c33193648470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Green Bay Phoenix, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 67c | 4,552$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 32c | 2,518$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Buffalo Bulls | 77c | 1,945$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 1,524$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 1,450$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 21c | 898.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 557$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 70c | 241.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 232$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Buffalo Bulls | 75c | 177.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Buffalo Bulls | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Green Bay Phoenix | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 61c | 78.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Buffalo Bulls | 65c | 64.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…086fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 64c | 35.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…bca7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 35.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Buffalo Bulls | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Buffalo Bulls | 66c | 23.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…01d2backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 149.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 150.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 152.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-4.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-5.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-6.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.