CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9411488f239117c8b63a8ab5de9ddd8f03dc08f20c7ee33711db4849eb8a0f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Just Players, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 7c | 674.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…0424backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 430.38$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Just Players | 12c | 421.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 354.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 12c | 276.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Just Players | 15c | 252.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Just Players | 13c | 220.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Just Players | 28c | 165.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Just Players | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…1075backed Just Players | 10c | 144.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…3976backed Just Players | 52c | 134.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 24c | 124.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Just Players | 49c | 119.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 110.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed Just Players | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 82.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Just Players | 47c | 72.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Just Players | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed Just Players | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 22c | 49.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Just Players | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 31c | 39.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 33.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…838abacked ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.