NFL · resolved market
Will the Lions and Vikings combine for 57 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9462f529d89f7b9b8599e6a571bfe86d37a4af317c3cce1d14d1a171d2857e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Under | 48c | 26,785$12,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,928.42 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Over | 52c | 26,284$13,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,667.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 46c | 488.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Under | 53c | 466.53$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 370.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Over | 47c | 366.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…3179backed Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…8dc4backed Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Lions and Vikings combine for 57 or more points?this page
- Will the Lions beat the Vikings by 3 or more points?Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.