CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947bcb88cf43532cc41896c6babdb75bc998a6341d09fe724c8bb9c599348168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Phantom, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Phantom | 52c | 3,950$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.96 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Phantom | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Phantom | 55c | 999$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Atreides | 49c | 849.48$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 44c | 696.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Atreides | 48c | 669.48$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.31 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Atreides | 49c | 633$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Atreides | 49c | 516.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Atreides | 45c | 487.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Atreides | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Atreides | 49c | 287.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Atreides | 50c | 277.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 64c | 277$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 29c | 276.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Atreides | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 49c | 241.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Atreides | 55c | 223.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Atreides | 46c | 220.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Atreides | 11c | 189.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Atreides | 46c | 158.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 43c | 124.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Phantom | 67c | 106$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Atreides | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.