CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1867292f72f4cae75421e70d6559418c8f78dad00ecfe2e732ee3678ab0e092a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Phantom, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8963…c780backed Phantom | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Phantom | 46c | 746.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 58c | 440.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Atreides | 48c | 314.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Phantom | 52c | 224.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 54c | 195.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atreides | 49c | 135.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Phantom | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Phantom | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c7…52a3backed Phantom | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Atreides | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Phantom | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Atreides | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Atreides | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Atreides | 69c | 72.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…6907backed Atreides | 71c | 56.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 63c | 52.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atreides | 49c | 32.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Phantom | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Atreides | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Phantom | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.