La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c4107dad85666826ee1bf7e3d4139b3de9a003cecf63c561ab99ef45314df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 3,781$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 1,354$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.02 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 57c | 1,310$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.55 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 57c | 676.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 524.63$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 43c | 413.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 40c | 179.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 43c | 146.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 71.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 43c | 49.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed Yes | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 31.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 59c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.