Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Bennani (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c43267626ca171f74c65f3bfe5935bb0ccfd74b2cf4264e2494f49a6422ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bennaniof Bellucci, Bennani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bellucci | 63c | 1,757$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.53 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bellucci | 14c | 1,523$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bennani | 34c | 1,264$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bennani | 38c | 941.33$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.28 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Bellucci | 62c | 661.14$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Bennani | 42c | 487.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.15 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…d8e4backed Bennani | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Bellucci | 75c | 315.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bennani | 38c | 274.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bennani | 73c | 256.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Bellucci | 72c | 192.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Bennani | 41c | 176.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Bellucci | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Bennani | 41c | 117.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Bellucci | 69c | 109.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bennani | 38c | 103$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bellucci | 77c | 101.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bellucci | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bennani | 38c | 58.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Bellucci | 76c | 49.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Bennani | 70c | 23.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Bennani | 80c | 13.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Bennani (+1.5)this page
- Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda BennaniMattia Bellucci won
- Mattia Bellucci vs. Reda Bennani: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.