Tennis · resolved market
ITF Claremont: Roshan Santhosh vs Hiroki Sakagawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x950ae3d7ffdfb7b48954b6c06fd7db5ccf4f6610bdb1d4ab45034880d0e06714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiroki Sakagawaof Roshan Santhosh, Hiroki Sakagawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Hiroki Sakagawa | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.07 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Roshan Santhosh | 36c | 624.72$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Roshan Santhosh | 36c | 384$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Roshan Santhosh | 38c | 312.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Roshan Santhosh | 44c | 259.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 56c | 237.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Roshan Santhosh | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 59c | 127.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 60c | 83.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Roshan Santhosh | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Roshan Santhosh | 38c | 72.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Roshan Santhosh | 41c | 54.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Hiroki Sakagawa | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 64c | 45.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roshan Santhosh | 37c | 43.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Roshan Santhosh | 24c | 42.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Roshan Santhosh | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Roshan Santhosh | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Roshan Santhosh | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Roshan Santhosh | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Roshan Santhosh | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hiroki Sakagawa | 56c | 27.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Roshan Santhosh | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Hiroki Sakagawa | 57c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…ddddbacked Hiroki Sakagawa | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.