Cricket · resolved market
BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9523adb2f9de802f705ceff8bbc437a0068134f2588955be4f100272a36e3bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durbar Rajshahiof Durbar Rajshahi, Rangpur Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Durbar Rajshahi | 78c | 2,412$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.89 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Durbar Rajshahi | 48c | 1,108$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Durbar Rajshahi | 6c | 882.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.81 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Durbar Rajshahi | 36c | 586.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.83 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rangpur Riders | 64c | 223.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Durbar Rajshahi | 76c | 147.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Rangpur Riders | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…707abacked Rangpur Riders | 65c | 107.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Durbar Rajshahi | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Rangpur Riders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Durbar Rajshahi | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Durbar Rajshahi | 14c | 98.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Durbar Rajshahi | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Rangpur Riders | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Durbar Rajshahi | 43c | 32.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Rangpur Riders | 75c | 28.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked Rangpur Riders | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Rangpur Riders | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1)this page
- BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Rangpur Riders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.