Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95816a83b5c352b955416bbde283a26ce24c200d9ac829b8188589421a3657b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,302$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 1,302$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 649.95$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 402.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 362.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 359.92$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 351.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 1,319 | 50.8%670 W · 649 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 30c | 339.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 202.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked No | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 23c | 58.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 24c | 45.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 23c | 45.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.