CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95853c5afe148eb2d84ea588708dd92a4123e5e18df91e8dcdcc028b64ab633d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 1,534$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 76c | 1,209$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Nemiga | 78c | 1,143$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 849.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 522.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Nemiga | 79c | 480.39$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ALGO Esports | 25c | 458.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…98f5backed ALGO Esports | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Nemiga | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed Nemiga | 74c | 355.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 305.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Nemiga | 75c | 265.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ALGO Esports | 23c | 244.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ALGO Esports | 11c | 219.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ALGO Esports | 24c | 201.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga | 74c | 188.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Nemiga | 77c | 187.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 174.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Nemiga | 76c | 130.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ALGO Esports | 25c | 103.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed ALGO Esports | 13c | 102.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ALGO Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nemiga | 75c | 97.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked ALGO Esports | 18c | 94.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 92.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 78c | 87.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ALGO Esports | 19c | 87.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed ALGO Esports | 19c | 85.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 82.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 16c | 66.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALGO Esports | 25c | 64.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 62.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed ALGO Esports | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed Nemiga | 77c | 46.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga | 77c | 40.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nemiga | 79c | 35.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Nemiga | 76c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Nemiga | 76c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Nemiga | 75c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 78c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.