CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e27c3d340329133b69c873a20e12b33133c305f72d9287d43f5f871e456419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ALGO Esports | 36c | 680.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 67c | 574.11$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ALGO Esports | 41c | 330.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga | 50c | 285$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 162.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ALGO Esports | 35c | 149.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 76c | 138.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ALGO Esports | 45c | 115.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nemiga | 67c | 112.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nemiga | 67c | 106.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 58c | 98.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALGO Esports | 21c | 96.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ALGO Esports | 41c | 88.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed ALGO Esports | 29c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALGO Esports | 41c | 65.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed ALGO Esports | 37c | 62.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nemiga | 78c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nemiga | 78c | 52.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nemiga | 79c | 52.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Nemiga | 79c | 52.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nemiga | 79c | 52.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Nemiga | 79c | 52.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nemiga | 79c | 47.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed ALGO Esports | 37c | 39.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Nemiga | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga | 59c | 38.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked ALGO Esports | 36c | 37.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Nemiga | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ALGO Esports | 42c | 35.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nemiga | 68c | 34.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Nemiga | 72c | 34.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed ALGO Esports | 34c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nemiga | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nemiga | 80c | 28.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nemiga | 79c | 20.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Nemiga | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Nemiga | 79c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.