Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a8a65d043916d048f88dd18bfafad787111fb001dcdd066948fe1ac46daf1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Darderi, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Borges | 68c | 3,941$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Darderi | 32c | 3,015$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.55 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Darderi | 32c | 2,935$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.58 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Borges | 67c | 1,766$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.64 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Borges | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darderi | 33c | 706.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darderi | 33c | 599.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Borges | 66c | 278.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Darderi | 34c | 191.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 31c | 188.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Darderi | 35c | 142.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Darderi | 43c | 114.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Darderi | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Darderi | 47c | 109.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Borges | 67c | 102.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Borges | 54c | 92.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Borges | 58c | 71.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Borges | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Borges | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Borges | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Borges | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Borges | 67c | 36.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Borges | 69c | 34.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Borges | 66c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…51cbbacked Darderi | 34c | 30.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Borges | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 72c | 18.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Borges vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set 2 Winner: Borges vs DarderiDarderi won
- Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.