Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b4005970da4bfd7227a7fcb2fe31f61b6ccd5121684f7dd5dad9e2c086103f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wawrinka | 15c | 9,877$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.28 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wawrinka | 5c | 8,933$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Wawrinka | 8c | 7,932$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Wawrinka | 3c | 7,100$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Wawrinka | 15c | 5,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Wawrinka | 11c | 4,147$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wawrinka | 2c | 3,332$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wawrinka | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wawrinka | 6c | 2,310$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Wawrinka | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wawrinka | 14c | 1,793$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.02 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Wawrinka | 16c | 1,551$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wawrinka | 6c | 1,367$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wawrinka | 10c | 1,308$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b549backed Wawrinka | 11c | 1,193$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Wawrinka | 4c | 1,153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Wawrinka | 1c | 1,001$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wawrinka | 11c | 922.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Wawrinka | 13c | 769.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wawrinka | 16c | 724$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Wawrinka | 14c | 704.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Wawrinka | 15c | 648.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wawrinka | 6c | 645.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 598$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Wawrinka | 15c | 558.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Wawrinka | 8c | 425.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked Wawrinka | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wawrinka | 14c | 377.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Wawrinka | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wawrinka | 17c | 320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Wawrinka | 17c | 306$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…3051backed Wawrinka | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Wawrinka | 14c | 276.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wawrinka | 13c | 250.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Wawrinka | 13c | 239.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Wawrinka | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Wawrinka | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Wawrinka | 11c | 176.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Wawrinka | 14c | 168.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Wawrinka | 9c | 156.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka | 8c | 156.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wawrinka | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wawrinka | 9c | 140.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Wawrinka | 16c | 129.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wawrinka | 15c | 117.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wawrinka | 14c | 108.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Wawrinka | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Wawrinka | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Wawrinka | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Wawrinka | 15c | 81.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Wawrinka | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Wawrinka | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinkathis page
- Medvedev vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs WawrinkaMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.