College Football · resolved market
Will Notre Dame beat Georgia Tech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ce84154391623cc92d2a02f6d01e84fcb049cad0eb2ba1a2aa320e7d45a55a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Notre Dame, GA Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed GA Tech | 16c | 3,692$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.72 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed GA Tech | 3c | 758$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed GA Tech | 18c | 555$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…7b04backed GA Tech | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Notre Dame | 71c | 383.45$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked GA Tech | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked GA Tech | 17c | 350$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked GA Tech | 22c | 280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked GA Tech | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked GA Tech | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed GA Tech | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed GA Tech | 10c | 158.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Notre Dame | 80c | 128.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…2efebacked GA Tech | 24c | 102.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed GA Tech | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked GA Tech | 18c | 60.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Notre Dame | 79c | 22.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Notre Dame beat Georgia Tech?this page
- Will there be 57 or more combined points scored?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.