F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ceea481a8132c2ffdfb018a4e3d5c1e531213ee7518eb68bb4f2c7aa755485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c09…4073backed No | 25c | 797.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…d918backed Yes | 75c | 623.51$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 20c | 250.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 75c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 77c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 79c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.