South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965f315fa5a2230ad9c4a795859fb56cdb09b36e3ec6f3764d592be15fa44527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 5,808$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 47c | 4,484$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 2,742$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 57c | 2,019$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,967$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 26c | 1,129$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 22c | 909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 61c | 462.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 289.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 30c | 228.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 20c | 71.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 68.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 79c | 41.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 37c | 37.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 53c | 33.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 33.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 27.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 73c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.