Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967032617a76da717d69936ec6aabe3606eb7ae69996bc827cbacda1ca79ca12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,325$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 1,853$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 45c | 652.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 30c | 359.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 223.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 214.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 165.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 147.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over | 72c | 143.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 35c | 136.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 31c | 125.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 108.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 32c | 90.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 70c | 70.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 70c | 65.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 32c | 56.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 31c | 52.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 32c | 45.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 35c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 40.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 32.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 32.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 67c | 24.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 56c | 24.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 68c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 18.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.