NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968e4b09ac4f710ea81259f8709dd3bc83bb435ea61a0df8e03b1eda295bc582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Tucson Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,080 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 372.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 362.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…daefbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 349.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…9a6ebacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 346.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…f18bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 343.56$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2d54backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 343.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92f…c92ebacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 342$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…c91fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…ed86backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 339$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…cd1dbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…011ebacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…3789backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 307.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…5e39backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 303$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…1ff3backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 294$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…42f1backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 282.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…29d0backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 268.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…45d6backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…14d7backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 250.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…614cbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 238$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…265bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 236.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…1234backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 232.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…bb82backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 230.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…44cabacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…b38fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…75a5backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 204$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd635…e345backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 201.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 195.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 180$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 20c | 122.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 100.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…be9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 57c | 77.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 49.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 45.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 45.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…ef83backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bd…6eabbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…7133backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 29.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…db9fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 29.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…8acbbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…df0fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…92c8backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 28.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…6abdbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd127…8f32backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…1a75backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…0b05backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa7…8985backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…a56bbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…1bd4backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…0f43backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…b58bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266f…c258backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…d9cabacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.