NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. Amur Khabarovsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a9683d37ec6fe028ea210fede8a5b28310583803e38a77979a2d384f42fc18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Traktor, Amur Khabarovsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Traktor | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Traktor | 74c | 190.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 169.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Traktor | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Traktor | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Traktor | 72c | 122.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 25c | 113.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Traktor | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 27c | 80.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 27c | 72.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Traktor | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Traktor | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Traktor | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…379cbacked Traktor | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Traktor | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Amur Khabarovsk | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Traktor | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…d781backed Traktor | 73c | 28.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Traktor | 71c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.