Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d93560f55075ea541e58d368ca0a800f44dee3fee6a8842e16981c093b3d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pliskovaof Potapova, Pliskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Pliskova | 61c | 8,883$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.8 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Potapova | 39c | 5,373$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.42 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Potapova | 38c | 2,150$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Potapova | 38c | 2,128$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.64 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Potapova | 47c | 865.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Pliskova | 61c | 700.16$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pliskova | 44c | 379.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pliskova | 59c | 349.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pliskova | 58c | 296$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Potapova | 40c | 286$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Potapova | 45c | 270$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Pliskova | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Potapova | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Pliskova | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Potapova | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Pliskova | 62c | 132.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Potapova | 41c | 122.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Pliskova | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Pliskova | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Pliskova | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Potapova | 39c | 40.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pliskova | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Pliskova | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)this page
- Pliskova vs. Potapova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pliskova vs. Potapova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs PotapovaPotapova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.