Cricket · resolved market
CSA T20 Division 1, Women: Western Province vs North West Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970a79121afbb0d437b5bf8d27b67670d6f17ea04a2bb76759636a9e297176bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North West Dragonsof Western Province, North West Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked North West Dragons | 77c | 688$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked North West Dragons | 60c | 392.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Western Province | 40c | 384.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Western Province | 53c | 330.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed North West Dragons | 68c | 221.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Western Province | 9c | 187$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…bb9cbacked Western Province | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Province | 57c | 88.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Western Province | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Western Province | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Western Province | 50c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Western Province | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Western Province | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Western Province | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.