CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9712038fb0ab87e8f1e32b2a6ead184f11ad4561cad2eeb042394d3cfe41ef06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 3,474$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.49 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,500$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.07 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 599.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 550$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 460.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 457.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.78 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 311.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 295.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 265$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 144.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 90.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 49.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 44.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.