Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973bc2024395cd9fa2fc1147b0e67cc23bc7a90774b39f892459fc074645bccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Team Heretics, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf490…63afbacked All Gamers | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked All Gamers | 10c | 1,737$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed All Gamers | 14c | 535.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Team Heretics | 64c | 494.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics | 76c | 271.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed All Gamers | 10c | 261.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked All Gamers | 7c | 257.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed All Gamers | 32c | 221.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked All Gamers | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers | 36c | 165.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked All Gamers | 14c | 150.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked All Gamers | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed All Gamers | 18c | 108.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Heretics | 66c | 82.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Heretics | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Heretics | 71c | 62.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed All Gamers | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Heretics | 68c | 46.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Team Heretics | 74c | 45.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed All Gamers | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…bb7ebacked All Gamers | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed All Gamers | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-6.5) vs Team Heretics (+6.5)Team Heretics won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)Team Heretics won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.