Euroleague · resolved market
Granada vs. Basquet Girona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975e3d95d20a90d5586334f3be153e36d1dba8d34abb4bb5630f242854f7e30e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basquet Gironaof Granada, Basquet Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Granada | 36c | 719.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Basquet Girona | 63c | 693.23$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Basquet Girona | 66c | 206.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Granada | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Basquet Girona | 52c | 154.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Granada | 16c | 130.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Granada | 42c | 105.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Basquet Girona | 66c | 73.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Granada | 28c | 67.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked Basquet Girona | 55c | 61.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Granada | 41c | 58.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Granada | 37c | 54.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Basquet Girona | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Basquet Girona | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Basquet Girona | 54c | 44.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Granada | 37c | 41.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Granada | 36c | 37.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Granada | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Granada | 40c | 29.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked Basquet Girona | 60c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.