Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri vs. Oklahoma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976f4a3503050a33c513f9c34bc6793cbe909b546ce67e2c19b58274b189cf3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Missouri, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri | 59c | 392.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…ce02backed Oklahoma | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef4…a7c9backed Missouri | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fb…4ee0backed Missouri | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…d388backed Missouri | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oklahoma | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…c33fbacked Oklahoma | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…dbc8backed Oklahoma | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…dbd9backed Oklahoma | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb06…e2b9backed Missouri | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…301dbacked Oklahoma | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869d…350cbacked Oklahoma | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…4839backed Oklahoma | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Missouri | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…44f9backed Oklahoma | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…f555backed Oklahoma | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf798…2f37backed Oklahoma | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…7183backed Oklahoma | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2f…33e9backed Oklahoma | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…c628backed Oklahoma | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed Missouri | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…565dbacked Oklahoma | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…d2e1backed Missouri | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…229dbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…73dabacked Oklahoma | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…6974backed Missouri | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…cd07backed Oklahoma | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…c765backed Missouri | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ece…c68bbacked Missouri | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…c309backed Oklahoma | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…0085backed Oklahoma | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…e913backed Missouri | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…4de5backed Oklahoma | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…e44abacked Oklahoma | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4286backed Missouri | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb21…3a4dbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b7…17cfbacked Oklahoma | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…b762backed Oklahoma | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…06d4backed Oklahoma | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…1e38backed Oklahoma | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…b14fbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…54f3backed Missouri | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…fbcbbacked Missouri | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…e977backed Missouri | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…8529backed Missouri | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…412fbacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…4315backed Missouri | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…7ba6backed Missouri | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fa…0879backed Missouri | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce4…3242backed Missouri | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…190dbacked Missouri | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…79adbacked Missouri | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.