CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs MASONIC (BO1) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979439c2f45dcff75a1028d35e3c65b72021c8c1d4f259c0387be5ce9b0c6342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof ECSTATIC, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MASONIC | 21c | 3,250$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.1 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 1,896$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 22c | 1,493$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 473.47$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 359.49$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 259$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MASONIC | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 21c | 197.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 24c | 159.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 137.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MASONIC | 18c | 127.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 31c | 95.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MASONIC | 28c | 88.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MASONIC | 22c | 76.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked MASONIC | 28c | 59.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MASONIC | 69c | 58.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 52.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed MASONIC | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…0ffdbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 37.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…1282backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…7e11backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…f487backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…3fb0backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked MASONIC | 75c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…66d9backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.