La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97971b04b5ad0f72bc8d2c3d2b8e0c967c050f04437c08a3c5576c277060248f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 2,256$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,021$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,051$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 889.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 36c | 646.46$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 34c | 514.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 511.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 35c | 425.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 3c | 400.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 38c | 316.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 202.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 66c | 196.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 38c | 184.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 146.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 124.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 35c | 123.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 117.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6b7bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 83.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…ce14backed Yes | 36c | 81.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 61.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 34c | 56.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 55.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 54.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 32c | 42.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 65c | 42.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 66c | 37.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 28.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 66c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 72c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.