La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2111858b6090a50de6e83488f672398d72bd02b901351b722ede5fe9c0d1e0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,364$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.04 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,311$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 47c | 2,136$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.65 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 2,075$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 41c | 2,007$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.93 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 35c | 571.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 229.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 94.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 69c | 67.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 62.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 61.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 60c | 45.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 36.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 38c | 36.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 40c | 31.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 59c | 29.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 57c | 21.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.