Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9801105bf7980f11c69ecf963761d179619c1d68fbd3cb62662ba15426606961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 794.49$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 17c | 601.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 522.95$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 407$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Yes | 25c | 396.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 20c | 378.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 315.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 27c | 253.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 249.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6156backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7a79backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 26c | 190.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 183.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 86.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…7182backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…ed4abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 74c | 53.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x091b…861fbacked Yes | 26c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…98bebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 39.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,156 | 53%613 W · 543 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.