Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9806a537ce7af9abbca636eac110a0e713c5a10b9b3ce85eacf52d5778e16b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof Georgetown Hoyas, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1064…f153backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.98 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 796.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.48 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 430.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 185.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 174.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 144.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 58c | 137.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 135.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 61.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Georgetown Hoyas | 43c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-3.5)this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Georgetown HoyasMarquette Golden Eagles won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-2.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.