Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980845a66bf307eec49128045f7dc50687e37d8adf658329a9061676b04fa455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,778 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 4,217$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,861$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 15c | 1,500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 17c | 1,282$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 45c | 888.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 14c | 696.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 8c | 620$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 23c | 556.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 352.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 14c | 239.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 122.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 79.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 56.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 38.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.