CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs MINLATE (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98411c1149024adeb94b61c06fa3ead5d28be49472111480f3ad95ec3b4c5ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MINLATE | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MINLATE | 20c | 1,824$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sinners | 80c | 1,327$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Sinners | 80c | 1,324$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 18c | 643.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MINLATE | 20c | 496.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sinners | 79c | 148.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Sinners | 79c | 135.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Sinners | 79c | 103.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MINLATE | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed MINLATE | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MINLATE | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Sinners | 76c | 70.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed MINLATE | 24c | 62.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked MINLATE | 22c | 46.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Sinners | 80c | 28.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Sinners | 80c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.