Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98b6d8582d4cd369c90838346878030501b3fedfbce495bf88f03fb46493dab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Kentucky, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kentucky | 58c | 3,917$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.67 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Oklahoma | 41c | 3,398$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.17 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oklahoma | 44c | 2,293$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kentucky | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kentucky | 58c | 890.82$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oklahoma | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kentucky | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked Oklahoma | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…36e2backed Oklahoma | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Oklahoma | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…3d6dbacked Oklahoma | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed Kentucky | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…b1a0backed Kentucky | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Kentucky | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…4945backed Oklahoma | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Kentucky | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…79d1backed Oklahoma | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…0368backed Oklahoma | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…6b0fbacked Oklahoma | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…5f4fbacked Kentucky | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…8224backed Oklahoma | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…2761backed Oklahoma | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…7fffbacked Kentucky | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…44fcbacked Oklahoma | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a3eebacked Oklahoma | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…fde4backed Kentucky | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…da67backed Oklahoma | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…8bd4backed Kentucky | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…bf4abacked Kentucky | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…6bb4backed Kentucky | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…6e0bbacked Kentucky | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…89cabacked Kentucky | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…e831backed Kentucky | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…3775backed Kentucky | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a5c9backed Kentucky | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…0d1bbacked Kentucky | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…4408backed Kentucky | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.